News and Analysis (4/21/10)

“The real issue raised by the Gates memo is that the presumptive future status of Iran as ‘virtual’ nuclear power, without actually violating the nuclear NPT in any way or doing anything but continuing their civilian nuclear program, would be sufficient justification for a military attack”:

With the threat of UN sanctions looming, Iran plans to renegotiate a nuclear fuel swap with the United States…

… Meanwhile, Iran simulates protecting the Strait of Hormuz, a key outlet for the world’s energy needs:

“Threats that Lebanon now has huge missiles are similar to what they used to say about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq. Such arms were not found. They are trying to repeat the same scenario with Lebanon”:

Insurgents’ willingness to violate the sanctity of a mosque to assassinate the deputy mayor puts their religious sincerity in doubt:

Believing a recount only in Baghdad will cost the Iraqiya alliance a majority:

Despite  a poll indicating 63% of Jewish Israelis expressed their desire for a final division of territories, Palestinians are unlikely to get a comprehensive offer and the conflict will continue:

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