News and Analysis 10/1/24

Israel invades Lebanon and U.S. anticipates Iranian reaction:

• Iran Preparing Imminent Missile Attack Against Israel: Senior U.S. Official (Axios)

“Videos shared by the IDF show fighter jets they say were involved in the operation carrying BLU-109s, an American-made 2,000-pound munition”:

• Israel Likely Used U.S.-made 2,000-pound Bombs in Nasrallah Strike, Visuals Show (Washington Post)

“Jared Kushner, a key architect of the accords” wants U.S. involvement in what he hints should be an even wider war …

• Did the Abraham Accords Pave the Way for Total War? (Reason)

… and the Biden administration seems eager to comply:

• Austin Orders US Forces to Be Ready to Deploy as Middle East Heats Up (Politico)

Netanyahu has failed to draw the obvious lesson “from decades of Israeli targeted assassinations”:

• Israel’s Killing of Hezbollah Leader is Unlikely to Shift the Paradigm of Middle East Politics (Turbulent World / Substack)

“Israel has not hit Hezbollah’s military capabilities, said Sheikh Naim Qassem“:

• Hezbollah Deputy Delivers Defiant Message (Kashmir Observer)

Israeli war crimes continue:

• Palestine Chronicle’s Star Contributor Killed in Gaza – Remembering Wafa Aludaini (Palestine Chronicle)

As Netanyahu directly threatens Iran, observers ponder what Iran will do:

• Signaling Next Target, Netanyahu Tells Iran Change Coming ‘Sooner Than People Think’ (Common Dreams)
• Trita Parsi on Israel’s Nasrallah Assassination and Why Netanyahu Still Wants War with Iran (Democracy Now)
• The Decapitation of Hezbollah Leaves Iran Weighing Its Options (The Guardian)
• Iran Says US, European Promises of Truce for Not Responding to Haniyeh’s Assassination Were ‘False’ (Andolu Ajansi)
• After the Decapitation of Hizbullah, Iran Could Race for a Nuclear Bomb (Economist)
• Amanpour Questions Iran’s New VP on Women’s Rights, Hostages and Regional WWar (CNN)

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