News ans Analysis 1/10/26

The violence in Iran mounts:

“[B]because this is an economic collapse that has happened with the devaluation of Iran … everybody is affected. Playing off one side against the other is just not going to work this time”:

The judge ruled that Ali Tamimi’s “words … were inflammatory, disturbing, and deeply offensive, but that urged no concrete criminal plan and did not provide operational assistance for the commission of any particular offense,” and “the Constitution forbids criminal punishment for protected advocacy”:

“Experts note the blackout is unprecedented in its extent but also selective, allowing some government communications” …

… and “military-grade jamming signals were detected targeting Starlink satellites”:

“The recent U.S. capture of a Russian flagged tanker carrying Iranian oil is more than a legal dispute or a sanctions case. It is a precedent, one that could reshape Iran’s economic stability more profoundly than any single airstrike”:

“These have not been coordinated actions by an organized opposition, but rather the spontaneous combustion of a society reaching its breaking point”:

“Were parts of the national army to signal unwillingness to suppress dissent — let alone side with the dissenters — the regime would face a rival armed institution rather than mere crowds and face an existential dilemma” …

… but officially, the army says that won’t happen:

“Reza Pahlavi has indubitably increased his clout and has turned himself into a frontrunner in Iranian opposition politics…. But he also suffers from many problems. He is a divisive figure and not a unifying one” — Arash Azizi, author of the book What Iranians Want …

… and the man who would be king is so out-of-touch with reality he actually thinks those addressing Israel’s water problems by stealing water from Palestinians can help solve Iran’s water problems:


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