News and Analysis 1/19/26

“[A]n apparent response to US counterpart Donald Trump saying it was time to look for new leadership in Iran“:

“The regime … can fall if fissures are created internally and defections at high levels occur. But the external threat picture—from the US and Israel—and … undemocratic … external opposition groups … render such defections less likely”:

SDF leader Mazloum Abdi confirmed [the deal] in a video statement, saying the group had accepted the agreement, which stipulates their withdrawal from Raqqa and Deir el-Zour provinces ‘to stop the bloodshed’”:

“The ambassador, Salam al-Zawawi, was suffocated during the incident and transferred to the hospital for medical treatment”:

“Trump and Netanyahu have held multiple phone calls over the past week, indicating coordination behind the scenes”:

“Israeli officials had not expected that Trump would thrust forward and attack as early as Wednesday without additional coordination”:

“China will call for restraint, condemn intervention, and continue doing business, while preparing for the instability it believes others are making inevitable”:

“Iranian authorities have announced they are planning to restore internet access ‘gradually’”:

“The video … claimed without offering evidence others [in the military and police] had ‘laid down their weapons and swore an oath of allegiance to the people’”:


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